By the Numbers: Sergio Moraes vs. James Krause

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The last time James Krause fought in the Octagon was at UFC Fight Night 135 in August of last year, where he destroyed Warlley Alves, the same guy who gave Sergio Moraes a beating at UFC 237 earlier this year.

On Nov. 16, Krause and Moraes will cross paths in front of the latter’s home crowd for UFC Fight Night 164. Check out the numbers below and see which welterweight may soon break into the Top 15.

UFC record

Moraes made his way to the Ultimate Fighting Championship just a year earlier than Krause. But with 13 fights in the Octagon to Krause’s 10, he’s been the more active UFC competitor. The Brazilian started his career with a loss to fellow countryman Cezar Ferreira, but he bounced back with six straight victories as well as a draw with Luan Chagas in between. His hot streak then cooled a bit as he went 2-3, making for an overall UFC record of 8-4-1.

In his first UFC fight, Krause made heads turn by beating respected veteran Sam Stout. What made his feat even more remarkable is the fact that he was a late replacement and managed to choke out the Canadian in the third round. Krause didn’t have it easy early in his UFC career, having faced top-quality opponents in his first four bouts. After Stout, he had to deal with Bobby Green, Jamie Varner and Jorge Masvidal. But, he has since been climbing up the ranks and now has an Octagon ledger of 7-3.

Active winning streak

Krause has looked great in his last five fights, having beaten Daron Cruickshank, Shane Campbell, Tom Gallicchio, Alex White and Warlley Alves. Moraes, on the other hand, is on a two-fight skid. He was defeated by Anthony Rocco Martin and Warlley Alves. Before that, Moraes was on a two-fight winning run.

Common opponent: Warlley Alves

Moraes looked overmatched against Alves, who obliterated him for nearly three full rounds before putting him away late in the third round. Fightmetric shows Moraes landing only 20 significant strikes. Contrast that number with Alves’, who connected with 72 significant strikes plus a series of blows that ended the fight at 4:13 of the third round.

When Krause faced Alves, he was a 1-4 underdog. But the Glory MMA and Fitness representative demonstrated why fights aren’t fought on paper, impressively stopping Alves with a knee and punches at 2:28 of the third round. He also led in significant strikes landed at a mark of 59-28.

Stoppage rate

Both Krause and Moraes are certified finishers, but the former is more dynamic in his approach. He carries an 81 percent stoppage rate with 14 victories by submission and seven via KO or TKO. Moraes, for his part, owns a 64 percent finishing rate, which includes eight wins by submission and only one via knockout.

Takedowns landed (UFC)

After 10 UFC fights, Krause has attempted 55 takedowns but has only landed seven. As for Moraes, 13 Octagon bouts pushed him to produce eight takedowns out of 32 tries. That’s a much higher takedown accuracy for the bemedaled jiu-jitsu black belt.